Patients and methods: 10,512 recipients of first allogeneic HCT for hematological diseases, who were relapse-free survivors of at least two years post transplant were subjects for analyses. Median age at transplant was 29 (range, 0-76). 58% received stem cells from related donors. 78% received bone marrow, 14% received peripheral blood stem cell, and 8% received cord blood. 77% received myeloablative conditioning. Median follow-up for survivors was 7 years (range, 2 to 28). A total of 57,766 person-years were observed. 6,884 recipients were followed for more than 5 years (32,438 person years for observation period of 5 years or longer). Standarized mortality ratio (observed / expected ratio) was calculated for comparison with general population in Japan for specific causes of death.
Results: Among relapse-free survivors at 2 years, overall survival at 10 years, 15years were 86%, and 82%. Probabilities were 95% and 91% when subjects were limited to relapse-free survivors at 5 years. When compared to general population in Japan, risk of overall mortality was significantly higher (observed / expected ratio [O/E] = 15.1, 95%CI, 14.3-16.0). The risk of mortality was significantly higher with infection (O/E=89.8, 95%CI, 77.4-100.7), new malignancy (O/E=3.2, 95%CI, 2.6-4.0), cardiovascular (O/E=2.3, 95%CI, 1.5-3.5), respiratory (O/E=150.9, 95%CI, 131.1-172.5) including chronic obstructive lung disease (O/E=182.2, 95%CI, 101.2-214.1), digestive (O/E=4.2, 95%CI, 1.4-9.7), liver (O/E=10.5, 95%CI, 7.4-14.8), kidney-genitourinary (O/E=23.6, 95%CI, 13.1-37.1), and external cause (O/E=2.5, 95%CI, 1.5-3.8) compared to general population. The risk of death from any cause was approximately twenty times higher from 2 to 4 years after transplant for relapse-free survivors at 2 years (O/E=21.1, 95%CI, 19.6-22.6) compared to general population. The risk was still ten times higher with statistical significance for the subjects after 5 years post transplant (O/E=10.0, 95%CI, 9.1-11.0).
Conclusions: Long-term survivors after allogeneic HCT are at higher risk of mortality due to various causes other than underlying diseases. Screening and preventive practices are important for long-term follow up of HCT recipients.